Russia is thriving at World Cup 2018 thanks to weak Group A and great conversion rate

canada goose outlet mall While Russia was given a cheap canada goose uk good chance to advance from a weak Group A, you would be canada goose clearance hard pressed to uk canada goose find anybody who would have foreseen its offensive explosion. Canada Goose UK In a tournament marked by mostly underwhelming efforts from the canada goose coats on sale tournament favorites, Russia’s eight goals in its first two matches stand in stark contrast to a group stage that has thus far been in short supply of dominance. canada goose outlet mall

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canada goose outlet online uk You’d be forgiven for not having a great read of the Russians before this year’s tournament. One of the perks of hostingthe World Cup is that you aren’t required to go Canada Goose Coats On Sale through the qualification process, and as such the only yardstick we had going in was a smattering of friendly matches played over a few months in the run up to the tournament. Russia’s record in those friendlies was not at all good. It lost to qualifying nations Brazil (3 0) and France (3 1) before coming up empty against Austria (1 0) and managing a draw against Turkey (1 1). canada goose outlet online uk

canada goose outlet in toronto Despite all of this, Russia has two things going for it. The first, obviously, is home field advantage. Only one host Canada Goose online nation (South Africa in 2010) has failed to qualify for theknockout round. The second thing going canada goose factory sale for Russia was being drawn into easily the kindest group in the tournament. I intend no disrespect to Saudi Arabia or Egypt, but despite a lackluster showing in its canada goose uk black friday tournament warmup matches, Russia was always heavily favored to win its first two buy canada goose jacket matches and advance. canada goose outlet in toronto

canada goose outlet buffalo Before the tournament, projections by FiveThirtyEighthad Russia with a canada goose store 39 percent chance to win the group, a 34 percent chance to finish second canada goose uk outlet and a 73 percent chance to advance. After Tuesday’s 3 1 drubbing of Egypt, it had a 66 percent chance to win the group and a greater than 99 percent chance to make the round canadian goose jacket of 16. canada goose outlet buffalo

canada goose outlet 2015 You might wonder why Russia’s odds have gotten so much better if every result has gone more canada goose uk shop or less as predicted in Group A. The answer: The Canada Goose Outlet tremendous plus 7 goal differential the hosts have amassed is the first tiebreaker should it finish level in points with Uruguay. canada goose outlet 2015

canada goose outlet woodbury The secret to Russia’s early success has been twofold: It has created quality chances, and it has scored a remarkable amount of canada goose coats those chances(seven goals on 24 shots, 29.2 percent). canada goose outlet woodbury

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canada goose outlet trillium parka black Against Egypt, Russia benefited from a wildly deflected own goal but also managed to create two clear cut chances canada goose black friday sale around the penalty spot and converted them both. It converted nearly every big opportunity that was presented and added two unlikely goals from distance to pad that all important goal differential. canada goose outlet trillium parka black

canada goose discount uk xG map for Russia KSA. On the one hand, it true you usually don finish all of your clear chances in front of goal. On the other hand, woof the model doesn know how bad KSA defense and keeper are. This forced Manager Stanislav Cherchesov’s hand, and he brought on Villarreal’s Denis Cheryshev to play out wide, pushing Aleksandr Golovin to the center to fill in for Dzagoev. Golovin finished the opening match with a goal and two assists, and Cheryshev struck twice. Cherchesov left those two in place against Egypt, and Cheryshev scored again. canada goose discount uk

canada goose outlet ontario Next up is Uruguay, with the top spot in the group likely at stake. Based on talent, the South American side should easily beat Saudi Arabia on Wednesday in its second match,leaving it tied with Russia for the top spot in Group A. Though Russia entered Wednesday with a big advantage ingoal differential, it’s not hard to see Uruguay, led by FC Barcelona’s Luis Suarez and Paris Saint Germain’s Edinson Cavani, making up a good bit of that against uk canada goose outlet a leaky Saudi buy canada goose jacket cheap Arabian defense. This will be by far each team’s biggest cheap Canada Goose test so far. canada goose outlet ontario

canada goose parka uk It’s hard to see Russia maintaining this Canada Goose sale level beyond the group stages. Even if it wins Canada Goose Jackets Group A, it will likely face Spain or Portugal in theround of 16. History would suggest that the host team will have a hard time maintaining its Canada Goose Parka outstanding goal scoring form deeper into the tournament. Still, the World Cup wouldn’t be exciting without the potential for huge upsets (and we’ve seen a few eyebrow raising results already) canada goose parka uk.